Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 7.089654 7.807849 8.574404 9.454666 10.439064 11.507681 12.757783
2025-11-02 5.786853 6.751306 7.850051 9.199376 10.818497 12.707134 15.089003
2025-11-09 4.874580 5.965542 7.277991 8.984219 11.159723 13.862074 17.506079
2025-11-16 4.223887 5.383795 6.845790 8.842675 11.528253 15.056414 20.111024
2025-11-23 3.747632 4.948491 6.525007 8.774355 11.947121 16.331978 22.972879
2025-11-30 3.451659 4.706174 6.415468 8.954360 12.698083 18.124976 26.791755
2025-12-07 3.132371 4.390737 6.161436 8.885817 13.063804 19.383946 29.973002
2025-12-14 2.828824 4.062786 5.849172 8.685055 13.189637 20.271607 32.668849
2025-12-21 2.611377 3.836946 5.659265 8.639335 13.534697 21.522399 36.115270
2025-12-28 2.485419 3.734667 5.641881 8.854193 14.311721 23.557382 41.201211
2026-01-04 2.363445 3.625749 5.600676 9.020009 15.016220 25.542847 46.488592
2026-01-11 2.227212 3.481337 5.487515 9.049421 15.480078 27.147864 51.289208
2026-01-18 2.076785 3.304734 5.311229 8.961028 15.738834 28.438819 55.747088
2026-01-25 1.934990 3.131331 5.125798 8.838117 15.920297 29.608107 60.161382
2026-02-01 1.803776 2.965515 4.939275 8.694000 16.043458 30.676516 64.543533
2026-02-08 1.691737 2.824020 4.783213 8.589963 16.230570 31.894621 69.472615
2026-02-15 1.598414 2.708157 4.662955 8.540962 16.519888 33.359925 75.239477
2026-02-22 1.546092 2.661245 4.663372 8.724857 17.307728 36.003465 84.368541
2026-03-01 1.464969 2.555853 4.546612 8.663232 17.566076 37.499084 90.882118
2026-03-08 1.374044 2.426010 4.373717 8.470720 17.516432 38.276715 95.650576
2026-03-15 1.308779 2.339723 4.277586 8.427631 17.792625 39.857147 102.918450
2026-03-22 1.277347 2.315504 4.300236 8.637246 18.668631 43.019442 115.349604
2026-03-29 1.242286 2.281709 4.300957 8.798849 19.450723 46.061514 128.119015